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美名源  http://spaces./members/bestname,

 根據(jù)最近四、五十年全球自然災(zāi)害和人為災(zāi)害發(fā)生的歷史，如臺風(fēng)、洪水、地震、沙化、瘟疫、突發(fā)疾病、各種爆炸和無限開采等等災(zāi)害爆發(fā)頻率不斷增加，爆發(fā)嚴(yán)重程度也不斷提高。

因此我們預(yù)測未來十至二十年全球環(huán)境災(zāi)害爆發(fā)的次數(shù)頻率和嚴(yán)重程度將以三至五倍的速度增加和三至五倍的程度提高。

如果未來五至十年內(nèi)全球人類不從根本上改變經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展模式，不停止對地球環(huán)境的破壞，那么二十年以后全球環(huán)境災(zāi)害將以幾十倍的速度增加和幾十倍程度提高。

那么人類的生存和發(fā)展將受到嚴(yán)重的打擊和倒退。

“卡特里那”颶風(fēng)爆發(fā)給美國民眾和經(jīng)濟(jì)造成了多少損失和災(zāi)難。 美國這樣世界頭號經(jīng)濟(jì)強(qiáng)國面對這次颶風(fēng)災(zāi)難也無能為力，世界其他國家面對這樣面對這種災(zāi)難該怎么辦？   如果我們回顧最近十年在全球各地頻繁發(fā)生的各種自然災(zāi)害和人為災(zāi)害， 全球人類是否可以清醒：我們對地球環(huán)境的破壞已經(jīng)到了地球無法忍受的地步。 每年快速增加和增強(qiáng)的災(zāi)害已經(jīng)告訴我們：自然災(zāi)害是對人類破壞的一種報(bào)復(fù)，因?yàn)槿祟愐呀?jīng)徹底打破了地球自然循環(huán)的平衡環(huán)境。

雖然幾十年來有無數(shù)有識之士在不斷的呼吁政府和企業(yè)要保護(hù)地球自然環(huán)境，也有少數(shù)政府和企業(yè)采取了一些有效的政策和措施來改進(jìn)對自然環(huán)境的保護(hù)措施。 但是為了眼前的經(jīng)濟(jì)利用、為了自己的經(jīng)濟(jì)利益，大多數(shù)國家和企業(yè)還是采取了以犧牲和破壞環(huán)境的方法來換取眼前的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長。 無限制開采和挖掘，無限制污染排放、各國攀比競爭的武器爆炸試驗(yàn)、無節(jié)制的極端消費(fèi)追求、日益擴(kuò)大的太空發(fā)射和無限擴(kuò)大的動(dòng)物宰殺等等，無一不在天天加速對地球環(huán)境的破壞。 如果這種邊破壞邊發(fā)展的經(jīng)濟(jì)模式不徹底改變，追求極端消費(fèi)模式不徹底改變，人類對地球環(huán)境的破壞就不可能減少，自然環(huán)境災(zāi)害和人為環(huán)境災(zāi)害必然大幅增加，災(zāi)害嚴(yán)重程度也必然加深。

作為中國公民去年11月10日我們在全國各大網(wǎng)站論壇發(fā)出倡議“保護(hù)自然環(huán)境，減少環(huán)境污染，反對過度消費(fèi)”。

作為地球村村民今天我們向全球倡議“改變經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式，停止破壞地球，保護(hù)地球就是保護(hù)自己”。

我們希望各國政府領(lǐng)導(dǎo)和企業(yè)富豪們能夠深刻認(rèn)識問題的嚴(yán)重性，并且采取積極的行動(dòng)改變這種局面。 因?yàn)橹挥懈鲊莆战?jīng)濟(jì)和社會發(fā)展大權(quán)階層帶頭從自己做起改變消費(fèi)和經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式。 人類才能從根本上改變對地球環(huán)境的破壞，自然災(zāi)害和人為災(zāi)害才有可能減少。 人類才能保護(hù)地球，從而保護(hù)自己。

先見策劃  http://spaces./members/foresight

美名源  http://spaces./members/bestname

foresight89@yahoo.com.cn

2005年9月6日

September 6, 2005

Forecast Disaster of Global Environment

Foresight Marketing  http://spaces./members/foresight

Bestname  http://spaces./members/bestname

Based on global history of recent 40 to 50 years of nature disasters and human disasters such as storms, earthquake, flood, disease and serious bombing and so on, we forecast that:

1.       The numbers and frequency and serious extent of global nature disasters will increase at 3 to 5 times in future 10 and to 20 years.

2.       The numbers and frequency and serious extent of global nature disasters will increase at 30 or 50 times after 20 years, if we human being cannot change our recent way of economy development and do not stop destroy nature environment within 10 years.

So human being’s survive and development will be affected by serious disasters in the future.

Katrina storm has brought huge damages and disasters to American people.  America the first strongest nation on economy cannot prevent such storm, how other nations can do facing such nature disaster?

If we recall carefully those disasters so frequently happened in recent years, we human being should wake up: our earth cannot continue to accept being destroyed by human being. More and more serious disasters every year have told us: Nature can retaliate human being due to we destroy the balance of cycle environment of the earth.

Although many people have been appeal to government to protect nature environment for long years, few governments have taken some active policy and measures to protect nature environment, however facing own benefits against environment protection, facing present benefits against future benefits of human being, most of governments and enterprises select own benefits and present benefits to destroy nature environment. For instance unlimited exploitation, unlimited pollution let being, nuclear weapon test, unlimited killing animal, extreme consume and so on. Everyday human being is speeding up destroying the earth. If we cannot change the way of economy development radically, we cannot reduce the destroying of nature environment. Nature disaster will increase of course.

As Chinese citizen on November 10,2004 we launched one propose “Protect nature environment, Reduce environment pollution and Oppose extreme consume” in many forums of web sites.

As member of earth village today we launch one suggestion to government leaders and billionaires of global nations to take actions to protect nature environment, only government leaders and billionaires have powers to change the way of economy development, if they are willing to do from theirselves, there is hope to improve nature environment. Otherwise there is no possibility to solve the problem.

Foresight Marketing http://spaces./members/foresight

Bestname http://spaces./members/bestname

Foresight89@yahoo.com.cn